International Conference on One Health, The 6th International Conference on One Health

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Rabies Control in Bali: A System Dynamics Modelling Approach
Agus Wiyono, Sjamsul Bahri, RM Abdul Adjid, Suhardono NA, Sri Muharsini, Raphaela Widyastuti, Susan M Noor, Harimurti Nuradji, Susanti NA

Last modified: 2020-10-08

Abstract


Rabies is a contagious and zoonotic disease causing neurological symptoms of affected animal or human. This disease can be transmitted to human from dog, cat and monkey. Rabies which was firstly reported in Indonesia in 1884 and are spread in 24 out of 34 provinces in Indonesia. One of them is in Bali which was reported since 2008. Several control strategies such as vaccination, dog population control, communication, information and education to the communities, have been implemented to control the disease, however the case is still occurred. Thus, rabies control strategies are evaluated using system dynamics modelling approach, with several policies and strategies are tested. The results showed various future dynamics model for affected humans, number cases in dogs with some possible model scenarios. The models also shows that rabies cannot only be controlled with vaccination strategies. Education for restraining the dogs, followed by vaccination showed to be the best policy to decrease the rabies case in Bali.